13-5 · L1 · #12 (1457 ELO +67)
15-4 · L1 · #5 (1567 ELO -67)
Jaguars Upset Broncos Behind Lawrence’s 3 Touchdowns
DENVER (Interstat) — In a result that defied projections and tightened the race atop the AFC, the Jacksonville Jaguars delivered a statement victory on the road, defeating the Denver Broncos 34 to 20 on Sunday at Dick’s Sporting Goods Park. The game, played before 75,261 fans, saw the Jaguars improve to 11-4, handing the Broncos just their third loss of the season and dropping them to 12-3. Pre-game analytics heavily favored Denver, with Interstat’s game simulator projecting a 33-21 Broncos win and its ELO system giving Denver an 88.6% probability of victory. Jacksonville, however, entered as a narrow 3.5-point favorite… Read more...
Top Statlines
- Bo Nix DEN 47/28-352yd 4run-11yd 1td
- Trevor Lawrence JAX 36/23-279yd 6run-20yd 3td 1td
- RJ Harvey DEN 7run-50yd 4rec-71yd 1td
Forecasting
ELO Probability
DEN 87.4%
Spread
JAX +3.5
Projected Score
DEN 33 JAX 21
Money Line
DEN -175/JAX +145
Over/Under
46.5 (Over)
Team Schedules
- 2025-09-07 12:00 PM ET vs Carolina 26-10 W
- 2025-09-14 12:00 PM ET @ Cincinnati 27-31 L
- 2025-09-21 12:00 PM ET vs Houston 17-10 W
- 2025-09-28 3:05 PM ET @ San Francisco 26-21 W
- 2025-10-06 7:15 PM ET vs Kansas City 31-28 W
- 2025-10-12 12:00 PM ET vs Seattle 12-20 L
- 2025-10-19 8:30 AM ET vs L.A. Rams 7-35 L
- 2025-11-02 4:05 PM ET @ Las Vegas 30-29 W
- 2025-11-09 1:00 PM ET @ Houston 29-36 L
- 2025-11-16 1:00 PM ET vs L.A. Chargers 35-6 W
- 2025-11-23 4:05 PM ET @ Arizona 27-24 W
- 2025-11-30 1:00 PM ET @ Tennessee 25-3 W
- 2025-12-07 1:00 PM ET vs Indianapolis 36-19 W
- 2025-12-14 1:00 PM ET vs N.Y. Jets 48-20 W
- 2025-12-21 4:05 PM ET @ Denver 34-20 W
- 2025-12-28 1:00 PM ET @ Indianapolis 23-17 W
- 2026-01-04 1:00 PM ET vs Tennessee 41-7 W
- 2026-01-11 1:00 PM ET vs Buffalo 24-27 L
- 2025-09-07 3:05 PM ET vs Tennessee 20-12 W
- 2025-09-14 3:05 PM ET @ Indianapolis 28-29 L
- 2025-09-21 3:05 PM ET @ L.A. Chargers 20-23 L
- 2025-09-29 7:15 PM ET vs Cincinnati 28-3 W
- 2025-10-05 12:00 PM ET @ Philadelphia 21-17 W
- 2025-10-12 8:30 AM ET @ N.Y. Jets 13-11 W
- 2025-10-19 3:05 PM ET vs N.Y. Giants 33-32 W
- 2025-10-26 3:25 PM ET vs Dallas 44-24 W
- 2025-11-02 1:00 PM ET @ Houston 18-15 W
- 2025-11-06 8:15 PM ET vs Las Vegas 10-7 W
- 2025-11-16 4:25 PM ET vs Kansas City 22-19 W
- 2025-11-30 8:20 PM ET @ Washington 27-26 W
- 2025-12-07 4:05 PM ET @ Las Vegas 24-17 W
- 2025-12-14 4:25 PM ET vs Green Bay 34-26 W
- 2025-12-21 4:05 PM ET vs Jacksonville 20-34 L
- 2025-12-25 8:15 PM ET @ Kansas City 20-13 W
- 2026-01-04 4:25 PM ET vs L.A. Chargers 19-3 W
- 2026-01-17 4:30 PM ET vs Buffalo 33-30 W
- 2026-01-25 3:00 PM ET vs New England 7-10 L