0-0-0 · - (1332 ELO +25)

Sweden 0

0-0-0 · - (1388 ELO -25)

Estádio Do Algarve · São João da Venda

Officials: Keylor Herrera

Sweden vs Finland

HELSINKI (Interstat) — Finland delivered a significant upset on the road Wednesday, defeating Sweden 1-0 in an international friendly match at Estádio Do Algarve in São João da Venda, Portugal. The result defied pregame projections, as statistical models heavily favored the host Swedes. Interstat’s game simulator had projected a 2-1 victory for Sweden, and its ELO system gave Sweden a 77.10 percent probability to win. The lone goal of the contest came from Finland’s Getsel Montes in the 66th minute, securing the victory for the visiting side. The match was part of the Friendlies of Friendlies in World tournament. Sweden,… Read more...


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Forecasting

ELO Probability NAT-SWEX 75.4%
Projected Score SWE-SWKF 2 FIN-FINL 1

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