FC

Sweden 3, Ukraine 1

Thursday, March 26, 2026 · Final · UEFA World Cup Qualifiers
Sweden 3

0-0-0 · - (1388 ELO +32)

0-0-0 · - (1421 ELO -32)

NSK Olimpijs'kyj (old) · Kyiv (Kiev)

Officials: João Pinheiro

Ukraine vs Sweden

VALENCIA, Spain (Interstat) — Sweden opened its World Cup campaign with a commanding 3-1 victory over Ukraine on Thursday, March 26, 2026, overcoming pre-match projections that favored the opposition. Striker Viktor Gyökeres, entering the match as a substitute, scored twice to power the Swedish attack at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia. The match, organized by FIFA for the World Cup finals, defied the statistical expectations set by analysts. Interstat’s ELO system had projected Ukraine with a 53 percent probability to win, while its game simulator predicted a narrower 2-1 Swedish victory. The final result confirmed only the margin, not the favored… Read more...


Top Statlines

Forecasting

ELO Probability NAT-UKRX 76.3%
Projected Score SWE-SWEN 2 UKR-UKAW 1

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