24-32 · L1 · #123 (1339 ELO +3)
30-27 · L1 · #33 (1502 ELO -3)
Michigan State at Louisville
LOUISVILLE, Ky. (Interstat) — In a season-opening upset, the Michigan State Spartans edged the Louisville Cardinals 4-3 on Friday at Jim Patterson Stadium, riding a strong start from pitcher Aidan Donovan and timely home runs to overcome a significant pregame deficit in projected probability. Interstat’s ELO system had given Louisville a 76.20 percent chance to win, but the Spartans, who managed only five hits, made their opportunities count to begin their season 1-0. The Cardinals, a perennial powerhouse, dropped to 0-1. The most critical phase of the game unfolded in the middle innings, transforming a tight contest and ultimately providing… Read more...
Forecasting
ELO Probability
UL 77.9%
Team Schedules
- 2026-02-13 12:00 PM ET @ Louisville 4-3 W
- 2026-02-14 12:00 PM ET @ Louisville 13-4 W
- 2026-02-15 12:00 PM ET @ Louisville 1-9 L
- 2026-02-20 7:30 PM ET @ Texas 1-8 L
- 2026-02-21 12:00 PM ET @ Texas 1-3 L
- 2026-02-22 12:00 PM ET @ Texas 0-4 L
- 2026-02-27 3:00 PM ET vs Illinois 4-5 L
- 2026-02-28 6:00 PM ET vs Albany 4-1 W
- 2026-03-01 12:00 PM ET vs James Madison 2-4 L
- 2026-03-03 12:00 PM ET vs Winthrop 2-5 L
- 2026-03-04 12:00 PM ET @ Clemson 1-12 L
- 2026-03-06 12:00 PM ET @ Nebraska 4-5 L
- 2026-03-07 12:00 PM ET @ Nebraska 1-3 L
- 2026-03-08 12:00 PM ET @ Nebraska 2-12 L
- 2026-03-10 3:00 PM ET @ Eastern Michigan 13-5 W
- 2026-03-13 12:00 PM ET @ Rutgers 4-9 L
- 2026-03-14 12:00 PM ET @ Rutgers 9-3 W
- 2026-03-15 12:00 PM ET @ Rutgers 6-8 L
- 2026-03-18 4:00 PM ET @ Michigan 0-2 L
- 2026-03-20 12:00 PM ET vs Iowa 2-0 W
- 2026-03-21 12:00 PM ET vs Iowa 15-5 W
- 2026-03-21 7:00 PM ET vs Iowa 3-8 L
- 2026-02-13 12:00 PM ET vs Michigan State 3-4 L
- 2026-02-14 12:00 PM ET vs Michigan State 4-13 L
- 2026-02-15 12:00 PM ET vs Michigan State 9-1 W
- 2026-02-17 3:00 PM ET vs Xavier 23-11 W
- 2026-02-20 4:00 PM ET vs Nebraska 4-2 W
- 2026-02-21 11:00 AM ET @ Michigan 5-8 L
- 2026-02-22 11:30 AM ET vs Auburn 6-10 L
- 2026-02-25 TBA vs Eastern Kentucky 6-5 W
- 2026-02-27 3:00 PM ET vs Central Michigan 16-2 W
- 2026-02-28 1:00 PM ET vs Central Michigan 9-8 W
- 2026-03-01 1:00 PM ET vs Central Michigan 7-5 W
- 2026-03-03 TBA vs Morehead State 5-13 L
- 2026-03-06 3:00 PM ET vs Seton Hall 16-1 W
- 2026-03-07 1:00 PM ET vs Seton Hall 13-3 W
- 2026-03-08 1:00 PM ET vs Seton Hall 6-2 W
- 2026-03-10 3:00 PM ET vs Marshall 16-5 W
- 2026-03-11 11:00 AM ET vs Marshall 18-8 W
- 2026-03-13 6:00 PM ET vs Notre Dame 11-14 L
- 2026-03-14 2:00 PM ET vs Notre Dame 8-7 W
- 2026-03-15 1:00 PM ET vs Notre Dame 21-12 W
- 2026-03-18 4:00 PM ET vs Northern Kentucky 16-1 W
- 2026-03-20 8:00 PM ET @ North Carolina 1-11 L