24-32 · L1 · #123 (1339 ELO +3)

30-27 · L1 · #33 (1502 ELO -3)

Jim Patterson Stadium · Louisville, KY

Michigan State at Louisville

LOUISVILLE, Ky. (Interstat) — In a season-opening upset, the Michigan State Spartans edged the Louisville Cardinals 4-3 on Friday at Jim Patterson Stadium, riding a strong start from pitcher Aidan Donovan and timely home runs to overcome a significant pregame deficit in projected probability. Interstat’s ELO system had given Louisville a 76.20 percent chance to win, but the Spartans, who managed only five hits, made their opportunities count to begin their season 1-0. The Cardinals, a perennial powerhouse, dropped to 0-1. The most critical phase of the game unfolded in the middle innings, transforming a tight contest and ultimately providing… Read more...


Forecasting

ELO Probability UL 77.9%

Team Schedules