12-33 · W2 · #295 (1086 ELO -6)

5-47 · L9 · #306 (879 ELO +6)

Joseph J. Jaroschak Field · Jersey City, NJ

Lafayette at Saint Peter`s

JERSEY CITY, N.J. (Interstat) — In a stunning reversal of pregame projections, the Saint Peter’s Peacocks erupted for 15 runs on 13 hits to rout the Lafayette Leopards 15-5 on Wednesday afternoon at Joseph J. Jaroschak Field. The result defied the statistical expectations, which heavily favored Lafayette. Interstat’s game simulator had projected a 2-1 Leopards victory, and its ELO system gave Lafayette a 73.10 percent probability to win. Instead, Saint Peter’s (4-29) secured just its fourth win of the season, while Lafayette fell to 7-26. The game’s decisive shift came immediately. Lafayette, designated as the visiting team, was held scoreless… Read more...


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Forecasting

ELO Probability LAF 73.1%
Projected Score LAF 2 SPC 1

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