FC

Casa Pia 1, Alverca 3

Sunday, April 12, 2026 · Final · POR: Primeira Liga

7-12-17 · D1 · - (1673 ELO -11)

0-0-0 · - (1766 ELO +11)

Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca · Alverca do Ribatejo

Officials: Luís Filipe

Alverca vs Casa Pia

ALVERCA DO RIBATEJO, Portugal (Interstat) — In a season-opening upset that defied pregame projections, Alverca delivered a commanding 3-1 victory over Casa Pia in Primeira Liga football on Sunday, April 12, 2026, at Campo Futebol Clube Alverca. The result stood in stark contrast to statistical forecasts. Interstat’s game simulator had projected a 1-1 draw, while its ELO rating system gave visiting Casa Pia a 59.4 percent probability of securing a win. Instead, Alverca seized control early and never relented, handing Casa Pia a defeat to begin its league campaign. The match took a surprising turn almost immediately. Against the run… Read more...


Top Statlines

Forecasting

ELO Probability POR-ALVE 73.3%
Projected Score POR-ALVE 1 POR-CASA 1

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