MONACO (Interstat) — AS Monaco and Auxerre played to a 2-2 draw in a Ligue 1 match Sunday at Stade Louis II, a result defying pregame projections.

Interstat’s metrics heavily favored Monaco with an 84.9% win probability and projected a 1-1 scoreline. The visitors struck first in the 11th minute through substitute Kévin Danois. Monaco’s Ansu Fati leveled before halftime in the 33rd.

Auxerre substitute Lassine Sinayoko put his side ahead again in the 56th, assisted by Gideon Mensah. Monaco salvaged the draw with a 90th-minute equalizer from Folarin Balogun, set up by Sinayoko, who finished with a goal and an assist.

The result leaves both teams with identical records of 0-0-1 in league play to open the season. Five yellow cards were issued in the match.