0-0-0 · - (1856 ELO 0)

Lecce 1

0-0-0 · - (1758 ELO 0)

Stadio Ettore Giardiniero - Via del Mare · Lecce

Officials: Fabio Maresca

Lecce vs Fiorentina

LECCE, Italy (Interstat) — In a match that defied pregame projections, Lecce and Fiorentina opened their Serie A campaigns with a gritty 1-1 draw on Monday at Stadio Comunale Ettore Giardiniero. The result, which saw both teams share the points on the opening day of the 2025-26 Italian league season, contrasted sharply with statistical forecasts. Interstat’s game simulator had predicted a 2-1 victory for Fiorentina, whose ELO rating gave them a 57.6 percent probability of winning. Fiorentina, the visiting side, struck first against the run of play in the 30th minute. The goal came from substitute Jack Harrison, who finished… Read more...


Top Statlines

Forecasting

ELO Probability ITA-FIOR 52.3%
Projected Score ITA-FIOR 2 ITA-LECC 1

Team Schedules