0-0-0 · - (1480 ELO +32)

0-0-0 · - (1896 ELO -32)

BayArena · Leverkusen

Officials: Benjamin Brand

Bayer Leverkusen vs Augsburg

LEVERKUSEN, Germany (Interstat) — Augsburg stunned heavily favored Bayer Leverkusen with two second-half goals from substitute Fabian Rieder to secure a 2-1 comeback victory in the Bundesliga on Saturday, April 18, 2026, at BayArena. The result, a significant upset according to pregame projections, handed the defending champions a losing start to their domestic campaign while providing a major boost for the visiting side. Leverkusen, playing at home, began the match as overwhelming favorites. Statistical models gave the hosts an 87.80 percent probability of winning, with a projected final score of 2-1 in their favor. For the opening hour, that script… Read more...


Top Statlines

Forecasting

ELO Probability GER-BAYE 97.1%
Projected Score GER-BAYE 2 GER-AUGS 1

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