Arouca 0, Famalicao 1

VILLA NOVA DE FAMALICAO, Portugal (Interstat) — A late header from defender Rodrigo Pinheiro delivered a 1-0 victory for Famalicao over Arouca on Friday afternoon in a Primeira Liga match at Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho. The solitary goal, arriving in the 82nd minute, broke a deadlock in a match that statistical models had heavily favored the visiting side to win or draw. Pre-game projections from Interstat gave Arouca a 52 percent probability of victory and simulated a 1-1 draw, forecasts Famalicao defied with a disciplined defensive performance and a decisive set-piece strike. The contest was a tense, physical affair… Read more...