ROME (Interstat) — AS Roma looks to solidify its Serie A standing and continue its recent dominance over Lecce when the sides meet at the Stadio Olimpico on Sunday.

The match is a crucial fixture in Italy’s top flight as the season enters its final months. Roma (W-D-L record: 4-3-3 in last 10 across all competitions) seeks consistency after a mixed run. A 1-1 draw with Monza U20 on Saturday followed a disappointing 2-1 loss at Como on March 15. However, the club has shown resilience, including a 3-3 draw at Juventus and a 2-2 draw at Napoli last month.

Lecce (3-3-4 in last 10), hovering in the lower half of the table, aims to spring an upset on the road. Its form has been uneven, with a 2-1 loss at Napoli last Saturday preceding a 2-1 victory over Cremonese. A notable 3-3 draw at Lazio on March 7 demonstrated attacking capability, but defensive frailties were exposed in a 3-1 loss at Como on Feb. 28.

Recent history heavily favors the hosts. Roma secured a 2-0 victory at Lecce in their most recent encounter on Jan. 6. Statistical models predict a similar outcome. Interstat’s game simulator projects a 2-0 Roma win, and its ELO rating system gives Roma a 67.4% probability of victory.

The matchup pits Roma’s need to convert draws into wins against Lecce’s struggle for points away from home. Key for Lecce will be containing Roma’s attack, which has been potent but inconsistent. Roma will focus on starting strongly to avoid another stumble against a team it is expected to beat.

Following this contest, Roma faces a demanding schedule, with a trip to Inter Milan slated for April 5. Lecce’s next Serie A assignment is at home against Atalanta on April 6.

Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. local (1400 GMT) at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome.