Bastia 3

6-4-10 · W1 · - (1422 ELO -6)

14-9-8 · D1 · - (1547 ELO +6)

Stade de Paris · Saint-Ouen

Officials: Jeremy Stinat

Red Star vs Bastia

SAINT-OUEN, France (Interstat) — In a stunning opening-day upset that defied statistical projections, Red Star outlasted Bastia 4-3 in a chaotic and high-scoring Ligue 2 match Saturday at Stade Bauer. The game, played April 11, 2026, was expected to be a comfortable victory for the home side according to pre-match analytics. Interstat’s ELO system gave Red Star a 79 percent probability to win, while its game simulator predicted a conservative 1-1 draw. The actual contest proved to be a seven-goal thriller that delivered a dramatic result for both clubs’ early season records. The match erupted early, with Bastia’s substitute Juan… Read more...


Top Statlines

Forecasting

ELO Probability FRA-REDS 81.0%
Projected Score FRA-REDS 1 FRA-BAST 1

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