2-0-6 · L2 · - (1790 ELO +9)

0-0-0 · - (1615 ELO -9)

Stadium de Toulouse · Toulouse

Officials: Bastien Dechepy

Toulouse vs Marseille

TOULOUSE, France (Interstat) — Marseille opened its Ligue 1 season with a narrow 1-0 victory over Toulouse on Saturday, March 7, 2026, defying pregame projections in a match decided by an early goal and defined by a flurry of second-half cautions. Playing before a home crowd at Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse entered the match as a significant favorite according to statistical models. Interstat’s ELO system gave the hosts a 70.80 percent probability to win, while its game simulator projected a 1-1 draw. Marseille, however, delivered a disciplined defensive performance to secure all three points. The game’s only goal arrived in… Read more...


Top Statlines

Forecasting

ELO Probability FRA-MARS 72.0%
Projected Score FRA-TOUL 1 FRA-MARS 1

Team Schedules