ERZURUM, Turkey (Interstat) — Erzurumspor opened its 1. Lig campaign with a commanding 4-0 victory over Sariyer on Saturday, delivering a stunning result that defied pregame projections at Kazım Karabekir Stadyumu.

The home side needed just 61 seconds to take control, as forward Eren Tozlu found the net for an immediate lead. That early strike set the tone for a dominant performance that saw Erzurumspor’s midfield dictate the match.

Sariyer, which entered the contest with a significant probability of victory according to statistical models, struggled to generate offense throughout the 90 minutes. The visitors failed to answer Erzurumspor’s intensity, managing zero goals on the day.

The match remained 1-0 until the 65th minute, when midfielder Sefa Akgün doubled Erzurumspor’s advantage. The floodgates opened shortly after, as Brandon Baiye added a third goal just six minutes later in the 71st minute, effectively sealing the result.

Sariyer’s frustrations were compounded by a yellow card shown to substitute Hasan Emre Yeşilyurt in the 56th minute, one of the few notable entries for the visiting side. Yeşilyurt would later register an assist, but it was a minor positive on a difficult afternoon.

Erzurumspor capped the rout in the fifth minute of second-half stoppage time, with midfielder Murat Cem Akpınar netting the fourth and final goal to complete the comprehensive scoreline.

The lopsided win sharply contrasted with pregame analytics. Interstat’s game simulator had projected a 1-1 draw, and its ELO system gave Sariyer a 77.10 percent probability to win. Erzurumspor’s performance rendered those forecasts irrelevant.

With the victory, Erzurumspor begins its season in the Turkish second division with a record of 1 win and 0 losses, while Sariyer starts with 0 wins and 1 loss. The records apply to both the 1. Lig competition and each team’s overall record across all competitions this season.

The match showcased a balanced Erzurumspor attack, with goals coming from three different midfielders and a forward. The defensive effort secured a clean sheet, handing Sariyer a defeat to open its campaign.