Excelsior 1, Heracles 1

ALMELO, Netherlands (Interstat) — In a match that defied pregame projections, Heracles and Excelsior played to a 1-1 draw on Friday afternoon in an Eredivisie fixture at Erve Asito. The result, which saw both clubs open their league campaigns with a point, came despite statistical models heavily favoring the home side. Interstat’s game simulator had projected a 2-1 victory for Heracles, while its ELO system gave the Almelo-based club a 76.5% probability of winning. The game’s tempo was set early with physical play, as Excelsior defender Jannes Wieckhoff received a yellow card in the 14th minute. The breakthrough came less… Read more...