FC

Nigeria 2, Algeria 0

Saturday, January 10, 2026 · Final · Africa Cup of Nations

0-0-0 · - (1539 ELO +28)

0-0-0 · - (1513 ELO -28)

Stade de Nelson Mandela · Baraki

Officials: Issa Sy

Algeria vs Nigeria

MARRAKECH, Morocco (Interstat) — In a stunning upset that defied pregame projections, Nigeria opened its Africa Cup of Nations campaign with a decisive 2-0 victory over Algeria on Saturday, January 10, 2026, at a subdued Grand Stade de Marrakech. The match, organized by the Africa Cup of Nations, pitted a heavily favored Algerian side against a Nigerian team that entered as significant underdogs. Statistical models had heavily favored the home side, with Interstat’s game simulator projecting a 1-1 draw and its ELO system giving Algeria a 72.20 percent probability to win. Nigeria’s performance rendered those forecasts irrelevant with a clinical… Read more...


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Forecasting

ELO Probability NAT-ALGX 67.8%
Projected Score ALG-ALGE 1 NGR-NIGI 1

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