1-0-0 · W1 · - (1591 ELO +32)

1-0-0 · W1 · - (1512 ELO -32)

Stadio Polisportivo Provinciale, Trapani

Officials: Andrea Palmieri

Trapani vs Crotone

TRAPANI, Italy (Interstat) — In a stunning reversal of pregame projections, Crotone delivered a commanding 4-1 victory over Trapani in a Serie C match on Sunday, March 8, 2026, at Stadio Polisportivo Provinciale. The result defied the overwhelming expectations set by statistical models. Interstat’s game simulator had projected a 2-1 win for the home side, while its ELO system gave Trapani a 68.90 percent probability of victory. Instead, Crotone seized control early and never relented, opening its league campaign with a decisive performance on the road. Crotone established its dominance within the first half-hour. Amedeo Benedetti opened the scoring in… Read more...


Top Statlines

Forecasting

ELO Probability ITA-TRAP 68.0%
Projected Score ITA-TRAP 2 ITA-CROT 1

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