Padova 0

0-0-1 · L1 · - (1618 ELO -19)

0-0-0 · - (1552 ELO +19)

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris · Genova

Officials: Luca Zufferli

Sampdoria vs Padova

GENOA, Italy (Interstat) — Matteo Brunori’s second-half goal lifted Sampdoria to a narrow 1-0 victory over Padova in a Serie B match on Saturday, Feb. 14, 2026, at Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris. The result defied pregame projections, as statistical models had favored the visiting side. Interstat’s game simulator had projected a 1-1 draw, and its ELO system gave Padova a 54.6 percent probability of winning. The match was a tense, physical affair from the outset, with three yellow cards issued in the first 25 minutes. Padova’s Lorenzo Villa was booked in the 19th minute, followed by Sampdoria’s Matteo Ricci in… Read more...


Top Statlines

Forecasting

ELO Probability ITA-PADA 57.1%
Projected Score ITA-SAMP 1 ITA-CALC 1

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