8-6-6 · W1 · - (1425 ELO +26)

7-11-15 · L3 · - (1418 ELO -26)

Stade du Roudourou · Guingamp

Officials: Faouzi Benchabane

Guingamp vs Saint-Etienne II

GUINGAMP, France (Interstat) — In a surprising Ligue 2 result that defied pre-match projections, the reserve side of Saint-Etienne secured a hard-fought 2-1 victory over Guingamp on Saturday, February 14, 2026, at Stade du Roudourou. The visitors, Saint-Etienne II, entered the match as significant underdogs according to statistical models but delivered a disciplined performance to claim all three points and open their league campaign with a win. Interstat’s ELO rating system had given Guingamp a 78.80 percent probability of victory, while its game simulator had predicted a 1-1 draw. The actual outcome upended those forecasts and handed Guingamp a losing… Read more...


Top Statlines

Forecasting

ELO Probability FRA-GUIN 80.3%
Projected Score FRA-GUIN 1 FRA-SAII 1

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