0-0-0 · - (1685 ELO -12)

0-0-1 · L1 · - (1673 ELO +12)

Millerntor-Stadion · Hamburg

Officials: Sören Storks

Saint Pauli vs Werder Bremen

HAMBURG, Germany (Interstat) — In a match that defied pregame projections, FC St. Pauli opened its Bundesliga season with a spirited 2-1 victory over northern rival Werder Bremen on Sunday, Feb. 22, 2026, at a raucous Millerntor-Stadion. The result flipped the script on statistical forecasts. Interstat’s game simulator had projected a 2-1 win for Werder Bremen, while its ELO system gave St. Pauli a 71.9% probability to win. The actual outcome fell in line with the oddsmakers’ favor but not the simulated scoreline, as St. Pauli’s efficiency in a 15-minute second-half barrage proved decisive. The first half was a tense,… Read more...


Top Statlines

Forecasting

ELO Probability GER-ERDE 64.3%
Projected Score GER-ERDE 2 GER-SAIN 1

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