Toluca 3

0-0-0 · - (1711 ELO -28)

0-0-0 · - (1396 ELO +28)

Estadio El Encanto, Mazatlán

Officials: Marco Antonio Ortíz

Mazatlan vs Toluca

MAZATLÁN, Mexico (Interstat) — In a stunning reversal of pregame projections, Mazatlán FC opened its Liga MX season with a dramatic 4-3 victory over Toluca on Wednesday night at Estadio El Encanto, overcoming significant statistical odds to secure three points. The match, played on April 22, 2026, defied the forecasts of Interstat, whose game simulator had predicted a 2-1 win for Toluca and whose ELO rating system gave the visiting Diablos Rojos an 83 percent probability of victory. Instead, the home side delivered a seven-goal thriller marked by pivotal contributions from substitutes. Mazatlán’s comeback began just before halftime. After a… Read more...


Top Statlines

Forecasting

ELO Probability MEX-TOLU 84.1%
Projected Score MEX-TOLU 2 MEX-MAZA 1

Team Schedules