LOJA, Ecuador (Interstat) — CA Libertad opened its Liga Pro season with a 2-1 upset victory over LDU Quito on Sunday at Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne, defying heavy pregame projections.

LDU Quito’s Michael Estrada scored just 60 seconds into the match, but the visitors played a man down after Leonel Quiñónez received a red card in the 28th minute. Libertad capitalized before halftime, with Orlín Quiñónez equalizing in the 38th minute. Libertad secured the win with a second-half goal.

The result was a surprise as statistical models heavily favored LDU Quito, giving them a 72.6% probability to win. The match was the season opener for both clubs in Ecuador’s top flight. Libertad improved to 2-1 across all competitions this season.