STENHOUSEMUIR, Scotland (Interstat) — In a dramatic finish that defied pregame projections, Montrose and Stenhousemuir played to a 2-2 draw in a Scottish League One match Saturday at Ochilview Park.

The result, which saw a late equalizer from a substitute, left both sides with identical records to open their league campaigns.

The match began contrary to statistical expectations. Interstat’s game simulator had projected a 2-1 victory for the home side, with its ELO system giving Stenhousemuir a 79.6 percent probability to win. Montrose, however, seized the early initiative. Andrew Steeves, entering the match as a substitute, opened the scoring in the 15th minute to give the visiting side a surprising lead.

That advantage held until just after halftime, when the game erupted in a pivotal four-minute span. Stenhousemuir’s own impactful substitute, Callum Sandilands, leveled the score with a goal in the 52nd minute. The home side’s momentum seemed decisive just moments later, as midfielder Findlay Gray found the net in the 56th minute to complete a rapid turnaround and put Stenhousemuir ahead 2-1.

As the match entered its final stages, Stenhousemuir appeared poised to validate the pregame forecasts. Montrose’s Tommy Northwood received a yellow card in the 66th minute, and the home side managed the game toward what seemed a narrow victory. However, Sandilands had one more decisive contribution. In the 83rd minute, he scored his second goal of the match, again assisted by defender Zeke Cameron, to pull Montrose level at 2-2. The assist was Cameron’s second of the afternoon.

The frantic conclusion saw another booking, as Montrose’s Cameron received a yellow card in the 88th minute, but the visitors held on through stoppage time to secure a road point.

The draw leaves both teams with 0 wins, 0 losses, and 1 draw in League One play this season. Their overall records across all competitions also mirror each other. The shared points underscored a match defined by key performances off the bench, with substitutes accounting for three of the game’s four goals.

The result will be viewed as a resilient comeback for Montrose, which twice came from behind to earn the draw. For Stenhousemuir, it will represent a missed opportunity after taking a second-half lead at home against a side they were heavily favored to defeat.