0-0-0 · - (1719 ELO -19)

1-1-0 · D1 · - (1635 ELO +19)

Igralište Nogometni Klub Jarun · Zagreb

Officials: Paul McLaughlin

Derry City FC vs Shamrock Rovers

DERRY, Northern Ireland (Interstat) — In a stunning upset that defied pregame projections, Derry City FC defeated title favorites Shamrock Rovers 2-1 in a Premier Division clash Sunday at The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium. The victory for the home side came despite statistical models heavily favoring the visitors. Interstat’s ELO system had given Shamrock Rovers a 75.80 percent probability to win, and its game simulator had projected a 1-1 draw. Derry City, however, scripted a different outcome, securing all three points with a dramatic, late-game surge that saw both teams find the net in the final minutes of regulation and… Read more...


Forecasting

ELO Probability IRL-SHAM 57.1%
Projected Score IRL-DERR 1 IRL-SHAM 1

Team Schedules