SUNDERLAND, England (Interstat) — In a dramatic conclusion that defied pregame projections, Sunderland and Arsenal played to a 2-2 draw in a Premier League match Saturday at the Stadium of Light.

The contest, which saw both teams earn their first point of the new season, was decided in the fourth minute of second-half stoppage time when Sunderland forward Brian Brobbey headed in a cross to level the score and send the home supporters into a frenzy.

The result was a surprise based on statistical models. Interstat’s game simulator had projected a 2-1 victory for Arsenal, and its ELO system gave the visiting Gunners a 68.80 percent probability of securing all three points. Instead, both sides were forced to settle for a share of the points in a back-and-forth encounter.

The scoring opened in the 36th minute through an unlikely source. Sunderland defender Daniel Ballard found the net, giving the home side an early lead. The goal was immediately marred by controversy as Arsenal’s substitute midfielder, Martín Zubimendi, was shown a yellow card during the same sequence of play.

Arsenal’s first equalizer came from the bench in the 54th minute. Substitute forward Bukayo Saka entered the match and made an immediate impact, scoring to pull the Gunners level at 1-1.

The momentum appeared to swing decisively in Arsenal’s favor in the 74th minute. Another substitute, Leandro Trossard, put the visitors ahead 2-1, completing a turnaround that seemed to validate their pregame favorite status. The assist on the goal was credited to Zubimendi, who redeemed his earlier booking with a key contribution.

Sunderland, however, refused to capitulate. The home side pressed for a late equalizer and was rewarded deep into added time. Brobbey’s clutch header in the 90+4 minute secured a dramatic point for the Black Cats, ensuring the match ended in a stalemate.

The physical match featured several cautions. Following Zubimendi’s first-half yellow, Arsenal midfielder Granit Xhaka was booked in the 45+1 minute. Sunderland defender Reinildo also received a yellow card in the 72nd minute. Xhaka was also credited with an assist earlier in the match.

With the result, both teams now hold identical records in the Premier League, moving to 0 wins, 0 losses, and 1 draw. Their overall records across all competitions for the young season also stand at 0-0-1.

The draw provides a valuable point for a Sunderland squad that was widely expected to lose, while it will be viewed as two points dropped for an Arsenal side that twice held a lead in the match but could not see out the victory.