FC

Georgia 1, Bulgaria 2

Tuesday, November 18, 2025 · Final · UEFA World Cup Qualifiers

0-0-0 · - (1349 ELO -21)

0-0-0 · - (1191 ELO +21)

Stadion Hristo Botev · Vratsa

Officials: Jakob Kehlet

Bulgaria vs Georgia

SOFIA, Bulgaria (Interstat) — Bulgaria opened its World Cup qualifying campaign with an upset 2-1 victory over Georgia on Tuesday, defying pregame projections at a rain-swept Stadion Vasil Levski. The home side built a two-goal lead by the 24th minute and held off a late Georgian rally to secure the three points. The result was a surprise, as statistical models heavily favored the visitors. Interstat’s ELO system had given Georgia a 67.3 percent probability to win, while its game simulator had projected a 1-1 draw. Bulgaria seized the initiative early, finding the net just 10 minutes into the match. Forward… Read more...


Top Statlines

Forecasting

ELO Probability NAT-GEOX 62.7%
Projected Score BUL-BULA 1 GEO-GEOR 1

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