1-0-0 · W1 · - (1772 ELO -12)

0-0-0 · - (1810 ELO +12)

Reale Arena · Donostia-San Sebastián

Officials: José Luis Munuera

Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao

SAN SEBASTIAN, Spain (Interstat) — In a wild Basque Country derby that defied pregame projections, Real Sociedad edged rival Athletic Bilbao 3-2 on Saturday, Nov. 1, 2025, in a La Liga match at Reale Arena. The game, which featured a flurry of first-half goals and a dramatic winner in second-half stoppage time, delivered a thrilling spectacle that surpassed the conservative prediction of a 1-1 draw from Interstat’s game simulator. The same analytics system had given Real Sociedad a 97.20 percent probability to win, a forecast that was ultimately proven correct, but only after the home side survived a fierce challenge… Read more...


Top Statlines

Forecasting

ELO Probability ESP-ATHL 62.1%
Projected Score ESP-REAS 1 ESP-ATHL 1

Team Schedules