0-0-1 · L1 · - (1486 ELO -13)

4-1-5 · L1 · - (1466 ELO +13)

Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica, Lisboa

Officials: Davide Massa

Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs Real Madrid W

LISBON, Portugal (Interstat) — In a stunning reversal of pre-match expectations, Sport Lisboa e Benfica delivered a commanding 4-2 victory over Real Madrid W in their Champions League group stage opener on Wednesday, Jan. 28, 2026, at a raucous Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica. The result defied statistical models that heavily favored the visitors. Interstat’s game simulator had projected a 1-1 draw, while its ELO system gave Real Madrid W a 93.2 percent probability to win. Instead, Benfica’s dynamic attack, led by a brace from midfielder Andreas Schjelderup, overwhelmed the Spanish side from the outset. The match began with… Read more...


Top Statlines

Forecasting

ELO Probability EUR-SPXH 68.3%
Projected Score EUR-SPXH 1 ESP-REAW 1

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