FC
Real Madrid CF 2, Sport Lisboa e Benfica 4
Wednesday, January 28, 2026 · Final · EUR: UEFA Champions League0-0-1 · L1 · - (1486 ELO -13)
4-1-5 · L1 · - (1466 ELO +13)
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs Real Madrid W
LISBON, Portugal (Interstat) — In a stunning reversal of pre-match expectations, Sport Lisboa e Benfica delivered a commanding 4-2 victory over Real Madrid W in their Champions League group stage opener on Wednesday, Jan. 28, 2026, at a raucous Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica. The result defied statistical models that heavily favored the visitors. Interstat’s game simulator had projected a 1-1 draw, while its ELO system gave Real Madrid W a 93.2 percent probability to win. Instead, Benfica’s dynamic attack, led by a brace from midfielder Andreas Schjelderup, overwhelmed the Spanish side from the outset. The match began with… Read more...
Top Statlines
- Anatolii Trubin EUR-SPXH 90min 1g
- Vangelis Pavlidis EUR-SPXH 90min 1g
- Samuel Dahl EUR-SPXH 90min yc
Forecasting
ELO Probability
EUR-SPXH 68.3%
Projected Score
EUR-SPXH 1 ESP-REAW 1
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