FC

AFC Ajax 4, Qarabag 2

Wednesday, December 10, 2025 · Final · EUR: UEFA Champions League

2-0-5 · L1 · - (1315 ELO +41)

0-0-0 · - (1763 ELO -41)

Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu · Baku, Azerbaijan

Officials: Rade Obrenović

Qarabag vs AFC Ajax

BAKU, Azerbaijan (Interstat) — In a stunning reversal of pregame projections, AFC Ajax delivered a commanding 4-2 victory over Qarabag in Champions League group stage play Wednesday at Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu. The result defied overwhelming statistical forecasts, including a prominent simulation that predicted a 4-0 win for the home side and an Elo rating system that gave Qarabag a 98.6 percent probability of victory. The match began according to the anticipated script when Qarabag’s Brazilian forward, Camilo Marques, opened the scoring in the 10th minute, capitalizing on early home pressure to send the Bakı crowd into a frenzy.… Read more...


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Forecasting

ELO Probability AZE-QARA 98.7%
Projected Score AZE-QARA 4 EUR-AFCA 0

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