GREENOCK, Scotland (Interstat) — Greenock Morton opened its Scottish Championship season with a come-from-behind 2-1 victory over Arbroath on Saturday at Cappielow Park, overcoming an early deficit and defying pregame projections that favored the visitors.

The match, played on March 28, 2026, began contrary to both the form book and statistical forecasts. Interstat’s ELO system had given Arbroath a 58.40 percent probability of securing a win. That likelihood appeared justified when Arbroath’s Owen Moffat broke through in the 17th minute, giving the visiting side an early advantage.

Morton, however, responded with a quick and decisive double strike before halftime to seize control. The equalizer came in the 32nd minute from veteran striker Curtis Main, who leveled the score. The turnaround was completed just five minutes later when Findlay Marshall found the net in the 37th minute, sending the home supporters into raptures and putting Morton ahead 2-1.

The second half saw Morton manage its lead against an Arbroath side pushing for an equalizer. The match grew increasingly tense, reflected in a series of second-half yellow cards. Arbroath’s Scott Robinson was booked in the 70th minute, followed by Morton’s Cameron Blues in the 82nd minute. Morton’s Zak Delaney received a caution in the second minute of stoppage time as the home side closed out the result.

The final whistle confirmed a winning start to the league campaign for Greenock Morton, which now holds a record of one win and no losses in the Championship. For Arbroath, the defeat marks a disappointing start, leaving them with a record of no wins and one loss.

The outcome aligned precisely with the final score projection from Interstat’s game simulator, which had predicted a 2-1 victory for Morton. This result stood in stark contrast to the same organization’s probability-based ELO forecast, highlighting a match where on-field performance overruled pregame calculations.

With the victory, Greenock Morton also improved its overall record across all competitions to one win and no losses, while Arbroath’s overall mark fell to no wins and one loss. The three points provide a foundation for Morton’s league aspirations, while Arbroath will look to regroup after a match where an early lead ultimately slipped away.