BRISTOL, England (Interstat) — Millwall opened its Championship season with a 1-0 road victory over Bristol City on Saturday, defying pregame projections at Ashton Gate Stadium.

The match’s lone goal came in the 59th minute from substitute Mihailo Ivanović. The decisive play was built by a chain of substitutes, with Raees Bangura-Williams credited with the assist.

The result was an upset. Statistical models had heavily favored Bristol City, giving the hosts a 68 percent probability to win and projecting a 1-1 draw.

The physical contest featured seven yellow cards, with Millwall’s Bangura-Williams and Jake Cooper booked in the first half. Bristol City, which failed to score at home, begins its campaign with a loss.