Gabon vs Mozambique
AGADIR, Morocco (Interstat) — In a stunning Africa Cup of Nations group stage opener that defied pregame projections, Mozambique rallied from a halftime deficit to defeat Gabon 3-2 on Sunday at Grand Stade d’Agadir. The match, played on Dec. 28, 2025, saw the visiting Mambas secure a vital victory after entering the contest as significant underdogs. Statistical models heavily favored the home side, with Interstat’s ELO system giving Gabon a 65.3 percent probability to win and its game simulator predicting a narrow 1-0 victory for Mozambique. The actual result delivered a dramatic narrative of resilience from the bench. Gabon, spurred… Read more...
Top Statlines
- Alex Moucketou NAT-GABX 45min
- Geny Catamo NAT-MOZX 90min 1a
- Faisal NAT-MOZX 79min
Forecasting
ELO Probability
NAT-GABX 77.2%
Projected Score
WOR-MOGM 1 WOR-GAQK 0
Team Schedules
- 2025-03-20 8:00 AM ET vs Uganda 3-1 W
- 2025-03-25 4:00 PM ET @ Algeria 1-5 L
- 2025-09-05 12:00 PM ET @ Uganda 0-4 L
- 2025-09-08 9:00 AM ET vs Botswana 2-0 W
- 2025-09-08 9:00 AM ET @ Botswana 2-0 W
- 2025-10-09 12:00 PM ET vs Guinea 1-2 L
- 2025-10-14 12:00 PM ET @ Somalia 1-0 W
- 2025-12-24 12:00 PM ET @ Cote d'Ivoire 0-1 L
- 2025-12-28 2:30 PM ET @ Gabon 3-2 W
- 2025-12-31 2:30 PM ET vs Cameroon 1-2 L
- 2026-01-05 2:00 PM ET @ Nigeria 0-4 L
- 2025-03-20 2:00 PM ET vs Seychelles 3-0 W
- 2025-03-23 8:00 AM ET @ Kenya 2-1 W
- 2025-09-03 9:00 AM ET @ Seychelles 4-0 W
- 2025-09-03 9:00 AM ET vs Seychelles 4-0 W
- 2025-09-09 3:00 PM ET vs Cote d'Ivoire 0-0 D
- 2025-10-10 9:00 AM ET @ Gambia 4-3 W
- 2025-10-14 9:00 AM ET vs Burundi 2-0 W
- 2025-12-24 2:30 PM ET @ Cameroon 0-1 L
- 2025-12-28 2:30 PM ET vs Mozambique 2-3 L
- 2025-12-31 2:30 PM ET vs Cote d'Ivoire 2-3 L