FC

Mozambique 3, Gabon 2

Sunday, December 28, 2025 · Final · Africa Cup of Nations

1-0-1 · W1 · - (1271 ELO +25)

Gabon 2

1-1-0 · D1 · - (1328 ELO -25)

Stade de Franceville · Franceville

Officials: Mehrez Melki

Gabon vs Mozambique

AGADIR, Morocco (Interstat) — In a stunning Africa Cup of Nations group stage opener that defied pregame projections, Mozambique rallied from a halftime deficit to defeat Gabon 3-2 on Sunday at Grand Stade d’Agadir. The match, played on Dec. 28, 2025, saw the visiting Mambas secure a vital victory after entering the contest as significant underdogs. Statistical models heavily favored the home side, with Interstat’s ELO system giving Gabon a 65.3 percent probability to win and its game simulator predicting a narrow 1-0 victory for Mozambique. The actual result delivered a dramatic narrative of resilience from the bench. Gabon, spurred… Read more...


Top Statlines

Forecasting

ELO Probability NAT-GABX 77.2%
Projected Score WOR-MOGM 1 WOR-GAQK 0

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