TROON, Scotland (Interstat) — Forth Wanderers delivered a decisive 3-1 upset victory over Troon in a South Challenge Cup match Sunday at Portland Park, defying pregame projections.

Interstat’s game simulator had projected a 3-0 win for Troon, which was given a 68.8% probability to win. Forth Wanderers’ Gaetano Vitale scored twice, in the 35th and 58th minutes, before Ludovico D’Orazio added a third in the 78th. Troon’s Gianmarco Castorri scored a consolation goal in the 84th minute.

The result in the Scottish competition gives Forth Wanderers a 2-0 record in the tournament, while Troon falls to 1-2.