0-0-0 · - (1354 ELO +33)

0-0-0 · - (1420 ELO -33)

Portland Park · Troon

Troon vs Forth Wanderers

TROON, Scotland (Interstat) — Forth Wanderers delivered a stunning upset on Sunday, defying heavy statistical odds to defeat Troon 3-1 in the South Challenge Cup at Portland Park. The visitors, who were given less than a one-in-three chance of victory by pregame projections, overturned a dominant forecast with a clinical second-half performance. Pre-match analysis from Interstat heavily favored the home side, projecting a 3-0 win for Troon and assigning them a 68.8% probability of victory based on its ELO rating system. The actual result stood in stark contrast to that data. The first half was a tense, scoreless affair, with… Read more...


Forecasting

ELO Probability SCO-TROO 80.1%
Projected Score SCO-TRCR 3 0

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