MAZATLAN, Mexico (Interstat) — A struggling Mazatlan side seeks to reverse recent history against a faltering Guadalajara when the teams meet in a Liga MX Week 7 clash on Wednesday at Estadio de Mazatlán.

The home side has lost three straight, including a 3-1 defeat at Pumas UNAM on Sunday. Mazatlan (2-4-5, 10 points) sits near the bottom of the table, having conceded multiple goals in five of its last six matches. Its defensive vulnerabilities will be tested by a Guadalajara attack that has shown potency this season.

Guadalajara (5-3-3, 18 points), however, arrives in a slump of its own. After a strong start, the visitors are winless in their last three league matches, most recently suffering a demoralizing 4-1 loss at Tigres UANL on Saturday. The team’s form has sharply declined following a five-game unbeaten streak that included a 5-0 rout of Leon.

Recent head-to-head results firmly favor Guadalajara. The visitors have won the last two meetings, including a 2-1 victory in Mazatlan on Feb. 6. In the last encounter at Estadio de Mazatlán, Guadalajara emerged with all three points.

Statistical models present a split outlook. Interstat’s ELO rating system gives Guadalajara a 56.3% probability of victory, suggesting its stronger overall season performance. Conversely, the same service’s game simulator projects a 1-1 draw, highlighting Mazatlan’s home pitch advantage and Guadalajara’s recent defensive lapses.

For Mazatlan, the match is a critical opportunity to halt its slide before hosting Queretaro on Friday. Managerial focus will be on shoring up a backline that has been breached with regularity.

Guadalajara, which hosts Club Puebla on Saturday, needs a result to stabilize its campaign and keep pace in the upper half of the table. Its high-scoring offense, led by a breakout 5-0 win over Leon last month, contrasts with a defense that has allowed seven goals in the past two games.

Kickoff is set for Wednesday afternoon under the lights at the seaside venue, with both teams desperate for points to correct their recent trajectories.