Necaxa vs Pachuca

Necaxa Hosts Pachuca in Liga MX Clash

AGUASCALIENTES, Mexico (Interstat) — A crucial Liga MX Week 5 matchup sees Necaxa host Pachuca at Estadio Victoria on Saturday, with both teams looking to build momentum in the early season.

The visiting Pachuca (W-L-D: 4-3-3) enters with recent dominance in the head-to-head series, having won the last two meetings, including a 2-1 home victory just over a month ago on March 3. They are unbeaten in their last three league matches, most recently drawing 1-1 with Toluca on March 22. Their form has been inconsistent, however, mixing strong wins against teams like Tigres UANL with surprising losses to lower-table sides.

The home side Necaxa (W-L-D: 2-6-2) will be fueled by a resounding 3-0 victory over Tijuana in their last outing on March 20, which snapped a four-match winless streak. Despite that boost, their season has been a struggle, marked by offensive droughts. Their last win prior to the Tijuana game was in October 2025.

Statistical models suggest a tight contest. Interstat’s game simulator projects a 1-1 draw, while its ELO rating system gives Necaxa a narrow 51% probability of victory, essentially a toss-up.

The match pits Pachuca’s uneven but occasionally potent attack against a Necaxa squad desperate to turn home-field advantage into a statement win. For Necaxa, reversing the recent trend against Pachuca is critical. Pachuca will aim to continue its hold over its rival and solidify its position in the table.

Kickoff is set for Saturday at Estadio Victoria in Aguascalientes. The game is part of the Liga MX Apertura schedule.

Next for Pachuca: vs. Santos Laguna, April 11. Next for Necaxa: at Queretaro, April 11.