Toluca 1

0-0-0 · - (1711 ELO -42)

0-0-0 · - (1379 ELO +42)

Estadio León

León vs Toluca

LEON, Mexico (Interstat) — In a stunning reversal of both form and expectation, last-place Leon delivered a commanding 4-1 victory over league-leading Toluca in Liga MX play on Saturday, April 4, 2026, at Estadio León. The result defied pregame projections, including a statistical model that heavily favored Leon, and served as a dramatic upset in the Week 5 fixture. The home side, mired in a difficult season, dominated a Toluca squad that had entered the match with one of the best records in the competition. The match’s narrative was largely defined by discipline, or a lack thereof. Leon’s aggression proved… Read more...


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Forecasting

ELO Probability MEX-TOLU 88.6%
Projected Score 1 1

Team Schedules