DALLAS (Interstat) — Missouri State will visit SMU on Saturday for an NCAA Football Bowl Division game at Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Dallas, Texas. The Bears enter 1-2, while the Mustangs are 2-1.

Missouri State is coming off a 30-24 home loss to Marshall. Quarterback Skyler Locklear was the Bears’ most productive player, completing 19 of 28 passes for 309 yards, rushing eight times for 53 yards and scoring two touchdowns. Henry Belin IV completed his only pass for 11 yards, and Ramone Green Jr. ran 15 times for 76 yards and caught two passes for 28 yards. Earlier this season, Locklear completed 8 of 17 passes for 30 yards in a 50-0 loss at Texas A&M. Missouri State opened with that loss at Texas A&M, then defeated Lindenwood 48-14 at home before falling to Marshall.

SMU is coming off a 41-31 loss at Louisville. Quarterback Kevin Jennings completed 24 passes for 222 yards, rushed nine times for 35 yards and scored one touchdown. Kendrick Raphael ran 24 times for 197 yards and scored three touchdowns while adding two receptions for 11 yards. Dramekco Green ran nine times for 23 yards and caught one pass for four yards. Earlier this season, Jennings completed 14 of 16 passes for 337 yards and five touchdowns and ran three times for five yards in a 56-10 win over UC Davis. SMU also defeated Florida State 27-24 on the road.

SMU is scheduled to host Boston College, Virginia, California, Virginia Tech and Wake Forest later this season, and will visit Syracuse, Notre Dame and Stanford. Missouri State is set to visit Western Kentucky, Delaware, Florida International and Jacksonville State, while hosting Kennesaw State, Sam Houston, New Mexico State and Liberty.

The weather forecast for game time is 84°F. The game will be played at Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Dallas, where SMU will host Missouri State. Missouri State will try to rebound from its loss to Marshall, while SMU will try to bounce back from its road loss to Louisville. SMU’s most recent home game was a 56-10 win over UC Davis. Missouri State’s most recent home game was a 30-24 loss to Marshall. Missouri State’s most recent road game was a 50-0 loss at Texas A&M.

Interstat’s game simulator projects a final score of SMU 41, Missouri State 13. Interstat’s ELO system gives SMU a 97.3 percent probability to win. Missouri State has been installed as a pregame favorite with a spread of +34.5, and the over/under is 59.5.