Championship Subdivision 1 2 3 4 PTS

12-3 · L1 · #68 (1528 ELO +33)

0 12 7 7 26

12-2 · L1 · #80 (1475 ELO -33)

14 0 7 0 21

Tarleton Memorial Stadium · Stephenville, TX

Wildcats Edge Texans in Tight Non-Conference Showdown

STEPHENVILLE, Texas (Interstat) — In a game that defied pregame projections and swung on a critical fourth-quarter goal-line stand, the Villanova Wildcats edged the Tarleton State Texans 26-21 on Saturday at Tarleton Memorial Stadium. The contest, a clash of 12-win teams, saw Villanova overcome a disastrous start and a potent Tarleton State offense to secure the victory. Interstat’s game simulator had projected a 34-23 win for the Texans, who were also given a 60.8 percent probability to win by the same service’s ELO system. Tarleton State erupted early, capitalizing on Villanova miscues to build a two-touchdown lead in the first… Read more...


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Forecasting

ELO Probability NOVA 60.1%
Projected Score TARL 34 NOVA 23

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