26-31 · L1 · #41 (1479 ELO -3)

43-21 · L1 · #49 (1450 ELO +3)

Liberty Baseball Stadium · Lynchburg, VA

Duke at Liberty

LYNCHBURG, Va. (Interstat) — The Liberty Flames, powered by an eight-run eighth inning, staged a monumental comeback to defeat the Duke Blue Devils 13-10 in a nonconference baseball game Tuesday night at Liberty Baseball Stadium. The game turned from a comfortable Duke lead into a stunning reversal in the late innings, defying both a pregame projection from Interstat, which had forecast a 7-4 Liberty win, and its ELO system, which gave Duke a 53.4% chance of victory. Duke (22-21) appeared in command early, capitalizing on Liberty defensive miscues to build a substantial advantage. The Blue Devils broke through in the… Read more...


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Forecasting

ELO Probability DUKE 55.6%
Projected Score LIB 7 DUKE 4

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