Milwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays
TAMPA (Interstat) — The Milwaukee Brewers and Tampa Bay Rays meet Monday in Game 3 of their playoff series at George Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, Fla. Milwaukee is the visiting team, and Tampa Bay is the home team. The Brewers are 112-60, while the Rays are 105-68. The forecast for game time calls for 72 degrees.
Milwaukee’s probable pitchers are Robert Gasser, who is 5-5, and Freddy Peralta, who is 12-11. Milwaukee’s Aaron Ashby is a player to watch. He has pitched 15 2/3 scoreless innings over his last eight relief appearances, allowing five hits with 17 strikeouts and three walks. Tampa Bay’s Cam Booser is also a player to watch. He has worked six scoreless innings over his last seven appearances, yielding one hit with two strikeouts and two walks.
Milwaukee enters Game 3 after winning the first two games of the series, 5-4 and 3-2, at home. In the most recent meeting, Sal Frelick went 2 for 4 with a home run and an RBI for the Brewers. Ashby struck out three in 1 2/3 scoreless innings, and Abner Uribe added 1 1/3 scoreless innings with one walk and one strikeout. Tampa Bay received a home run and two RBIs from Liam Hicks. Booser pitched 1 1/3 scoreless innings with one walk, and Steven Matz added a scoreless third of an inning.
The Brewers have won four of the five most recent meetings between the teams. Tampa Bay’s win in that stretch was a 3-2 decision. Ashby has been a key part of Milwaukee’s recent bullpen work, and his recent outings include scoreless relief against Tampa Bay in each of the last two games. Booser has also avoided earned runs in his recent work for the Rays, including a scoreless appearance in the most recent game. Milwaukee will look to take a commanding series lead, while Tampa Bay will try to respond at home in Game 3.
The Brewers’ most recent result was a 5-4 win over Tampa Bay. Tampa Bay’s most recent result was a 5-4 loss in the same game. Tampa Bay will host the next two games of the series before the teams return to Milwaukee. Milwaukee has recent wins over the Los Angeles Dodgers and San Diego Padres, and Tampa Bay has recent wins over Cleveland and the New York Yankees.
Interstat’s game simulator projects a final score of Milwaukee 11, Tampa Bay 6. Interstat’s ELO system gives Milwaukee a 56.9 percent probability to win. Milwaukee is installed as the pregame favorite with a spread of minus 1.5, and the over/under is 7.5.