MLB

Tampa Bay at Cleveland

Friday, October 16, 2026 · 8:00 PM ET · Championship Series Game 4

Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians

CLEVELAND (Interstat) — The Tampa Bay Rays will visit the Cleveland Guardians on Friday at Progressive Field in Cleveland in Game 4 of their playoff series. Cleveland leads the series 2-1 after a 3-2 win in the most recent game. Tampa Bay won the previous meeting 3-1, and Cleveland took the opener 7-3.

Tampa Bay enters with a 102-66 record. Cleveland is 90-80. The Rays will send probable pitcher Nick Martinez to the mound. Martinez has a 15-6 record this season. Tyler Wells is a player to watch for Tampa Bay. Gavin Williams is a player to watch for Cleveland. The forecast for game time is 66°F. The Rays are the visiting team, and the Guardians are the home team.

In the most recent game, Wells pitched two scoreless innings with one hit and four strikeouts. Steven Matz pitched two scoreless innings with no hits and two strikeouts. Chandler Simpson went 1 for 3 with two RBIs. Wells also allowed two earned runs on two hits while recording one out in an earlier playoff appearance against Cleveland.

Cleveland’s most recent win included an outing from Williams. He pitched five innings, allowed two hits and two earned runs, walked one and struck out nine. Cade Smith pitched 1 1/3 scoreless innings with two strikeouts. Petey Halpin went 1 for 3 with a home run and two RBIs. Williams also had a recent outing with 5 2/3 scoreless innings, one hit, two walks and 12 strikeouts. He struck out 11 in five innings in another recent start. He pitched seven scoreless innings with three hits, one walk and nine strikeouts in another recent win. He allowed four earned runs on five hits with four walks and four strikeouts in another outing.

The Rays have recent wins against the New York Yankees and Philadelphia Phillies. The Guardians have recent wins against the Chicago White Sox and Kansas City Royals. Tampa Bay won three straight regular-season games at home against Cleveland. The Guardians won a regular-season meeting in Cleveland. The Rays also won two of three regular-season games at Cleveland. The series is scheduled to continue with another game at Cleveland. Further games are listed at Tampa Bay later in the series.

Interstat’s game simulator projects a final score of Tampa Bay 8, Cleveland 6. Interstat’s ELO system gives Tampa Bay a 51.4 percent probability to win. Cleveland is installed as a pregame favorite with a spread of -1.5. The over/under is 6.5.