MLB

Tampa Bay 2, at Cleveland 3

Thursday, October 15, 2026 · Final · Championship Series Game 3 (CLE leads 2-1)

Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians

CLEVELAND (Interstat) — The Tampa Bay Rays visit the Cleveland Guardians on Thursday at Progressive Field for Game 3 of their playoff series. The series is tied 1-1 after Tampa Bay won the most recent meeting 3-1 and Cleveland took the previous game 7-3. Tampa Bay enters 102-65. Cleveland is 89-80. The forecast for game time calls for 61 degrees. The Rays are the visiting team, and the Guardians are the home team.

Tampa Bay lists Griffin Jax (8-10) and Gavin Williams (15-8) as probable pitchers.

Freddy Peralta is a player to watch for Tampa Bay. In his most recent start against Cleveland, he worked six scoreless innings, allowed four hits, walked two and struck out six. He also gave up one earned run over 4 2/3 innings against the New York Yankees, tossed 5 1/3 scoreless innings at the Philadelphia Phillies and allowed one earned run over 5 2/3 innings against the Boston Red Sox in recent outings.

Parker Messick is a player to watch for Cleveland. In his most recent start at Tampa Bay, he pitched five scoreless innings, gave up six hits, walked two and struck out three. He also allowed two earned runs over 2 1/3 innings at the Chicago White Sox, two earned runs over 4 1/3 innings against the Chicago White Sox, one earned run over three innings at the Kansas City Royals and one earned run over five innings at the Boston Red Sox in recent appearances.

Tampa Bay’s most recent win over Cleveland included scoreless relief from Bryan Baker and Ian Seymour. Cleveland got scoreless relief from Shawn Armstrong and Slade Cecconi in the same game. The Rays also recently beat the New York Yankees 5-2 and 1-0. Cleveland recently beat the Chicago White Sox 2-0 and 9-5.

Tampa Bay also won 4-3 at New York and 5-2 at home against New York, while dropping games at New York by 4-6 and 2-9. Cleveland won 9-5 and 9-3 at Chicago, added a 2-0 home win over Chicago, and lost 3-4 and 0-3 at home to Chicago.

The teams have met frequently in the regular season and playoffs. Tampa Bay won the most recent game 3-1, and Cleveland won the previous game 7-3. The series continues with Game 4 at Progressive Field.

Interstat’s game simulator projects a final score of Tampa Bay 8, Cleveland 6. Interstat’s ELO system gives Tampa Bay a 52.3 percent probability to win. Cleveland has been installed as a pregame favorite with a spread of -1.5. The over/under for the game is 6.5.