SANDY SPRINGS, Ga. (Interstat) — The Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves open their playoff series Tuesday at Truist Park, with Atlanta home for Game 1. Atlanta finished the regular season 96-69, while Philadelphia went 90-75. The Braves have won six of the last 10 meetings between the teams, including two of three in the most recent series at Truist Park. Philadelphia won the final game of that series 9-4 after Atlanta took the first two by scores of 6-5 and 12-2. Atlanta also won two of three at home in the earlier series between the teams this season, while the Phillies split a four-game set in Philadelphia.

Philadelphia is expected to start Jesús Luzardo, who is 14-5. The other probable starter is Chris Sale, who is 15-9. The Phillies will look to Zack Wheeler as a player to watch. Wheeler is 4-1 over his past five starts and has allowed six earned runs in 31 2/3 innings. In his most recent outing, he went six innings, gave up one earned run on five hits and struck out five. He also struck out 11 in 5 2/3 innings against Milwaukee, worked seven scoreless innings at Washington and held Atlanta to one earned run over six innings earlier this season. Wheeler has struck out 39 batters over that five-start stretch. Philadelphia’s most recent win came against Tampa Bay, when Wheeler pitched six innings and Bryson Stott went 3 for 3 with an RBI. Edmundo Sosa added a home run.

Atlanta will counter with Mauricio Dubón as a player to watch. Dubón has hit .359 over his last 10 games with one home run and four RBIs. In his most recent game, he went 2 for 4 with a home run and two RBIs. He also had a two-hit game against Cincinnati and a two-hit game at Houston during that stretch. He recorded hits in nine of those 10 games and has five multi-hit games in that span. Atlanta’s most recent result was a loss at Miami, but Dubón went 2 for 4 with a home run and two RBIs.

The weather forecast for game time calls for 77 degrees. The opener is the first game of the playoff series, with Game 2 to follow.

Interstat’s game simulator projects an 8-4 Atlanta victory. Interstat’s ELO system gives Atlanta a 51.3 percent probability to win. Atlanta is a -1.5 favorite, and the over/under is 6.5.