St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers
MILWAUKEE (Interstat) — The St. Louis Cardinals will visit the Milwaukee Brewers on Saturday at American Family Field in Milwaukee. The Cardinals are the visiting team, and the Brewers are the home team. The game-time forecast calls for 59 degrees.
St. Louis enters at 79-85. Milwaukee is 102-61 and has been among the strongest teams in baseball. The Brewers have won nine of the last 10 meetings between the teams, including an 8-4 victory in the most recent matchup. Milwaukee also has won eight of its last 10 games, while St. Louis has lost seven of its last 10. St. Louis has dropped seven of 10, including losses in two of its last three games. Milwaukee has won eight of 10 and has been especially effective in the series.
St. Louis lists Quinn Mathews (2-3) and Dustin May (7-9) as probable pitchers. Milwaukee’s Robert Gasser is a player to watch. Gasser has been sharp over his last four starts, going 3-1 with a 1.19 ERA, 21 strikeouts and six walks in 22 2/3 innings. In the most recent meeting with St. Louis, he allowed one run and one hit in six innings while striking out nine. Gasser also worked seven scoreless innings against Baltimore, allowing three hits and striking out two. Brice Turang added three hits and three RBIs for Milwaukee in that game.
Alec Burleson is a player to watch for St. Louis. Over his last 10 games, Burleson is 8 for 35 with three home runs and six RBIs. He went 1 for 2 with a home run and two RBIs in the most recent game against Milwaukee. Burleson homered in consecutive recent games against Pittsburgh and Milwaukee. The Cardinals have gotten recent production from Burleson, but they have struggled to string wins together. St. Louis’ most recent victory was a 5-1 decision at Pittsburgh before losses to the Pirates and Brewers.
Milwaukee has leaned on strong pitching and timely hitting during its recent surge. The Brewers won three straight at Baltimore and took two of three at Philadelphia before winning their most recent meeting with St. Louis. Gasser’s recent form has been a key part of that run.
This matchup is the latest in a series Milwaukee has controlled. The Brewers have won nine of 10 against St. Louis and will look to keep that edge at home. The Cardinals, meanwhile, will try to salvage momentum behind Burleson and their pitching staff.
Interstat’s simulator projects Milwaukee to win 9-3. The ELO system gives the Brewers a 66 percent probability to win. Milwaukee is a -1.5 pregame favorite, and the over/under is 7.5.