Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays

TORONTO (Interstat) — Cincinnati will visit Toronto on Saturday at Rogers Centre, with the Reds looking to rebound from a one-run loss to the Blue Jays in the most recent meeting between the clubs.

Cincinnati enters at 74-89 and is expected to start Rhett Lowder, who is 6-12 this season. Toronto, 78-85, is expected to counter with Trey Yesavage, who is 5-5. The Blue Jays have been stronger at home and hold a slight edge in the standings, while the Reds are trying to finish with a more consistent stretch.

Nick Lodolo is a player to watch for Cincinnati. In his most recent outing at Toronto, Lodolo worked five innings, allowed seven hits and two earned runs with two walks and three strikeouts. He also turned in a seven-inning start against the Chicago Cubs, allowing three earned runs, and a seven-inning effort against the Los Angeles Dodgers in which he gave up four earned runs. Lodolo has pitched deep into games recently, giving Cincinnati a chance to manage its bullpen.

Kazuma Okamoto is a player to watch for Toronto. He went 2 for 3 with three RBIs in the most recent game against Cincinnati, a 6-5 Blue Jays win. Okamoto has also shown power recently, including a home run and three RBIs against Detroit. His production in the middle of the Toronto order could be important against a Cincinnati pitching staff that has had uneven results.

In the most recent head-to-head game, Cincinnati fell 6-5 at Toronto. Lodolo started and allowed two earned runs over five innings. Elly De La Cruz drove in two runs, and Pierce Johnson pitched a scoreless inning. Toronto was led by Okamoto’s three RBIs, while Louis Varland and Brendan Cellucci combined for three scoreless innings of relief.

Cincinnati has had mixed results recently. The Reds beat Atlanta 7-6 and 4-0, but also lost to Atlanta 3-2 and dropped several games to the Chicago Cubs and Los Angeles Dodgers. Toronto recently beat Cincinnati after a rough stretch against Baltimore and Texas. The Blue Jays also split their recent series with Detroit, including a 5-1 win.

Toronto will remain home for the next game in the series against Cincinnati, and Cincinnati will continue the same series on the road. The matchup could hinge on whether Lowder and Yesavage can limit damage early and whether Lodolo and Okamoto make the biggest impacts among the players to watch.

Interstat’s game simulator projects Cincinnati to win 4-3, while the ELO system gives Toronto a 57.7 percent probability to win. Toronto has been installed as the pregame favorite with a spread of -1.5, and the over/under is 8.