Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins
MIAMI (Interstat) — The Atlanta Braves (95-67) will visit the Miami Marlins (78-81) on Friday at loanDepot Park in Miami. The forecast for game time calls for 82 degrees. Atlanta has won eight of the past 10 meetings between the teams, though Miami’s two victories in that stretch were a 12-0 rout and a 10-4 win. The matchup opens a three-game series.
Atlanta lists Ray Kerr (0-0) as its probable pitcher, while Eury Pérez (7-11) is expected to start for Miami. The Braves have won six of their past 10 games, while Miami has split its past 10. The Braves swept a three-game series at Miami earlier this season and took three straight at home against the Marlins later.
Dylan Dodd is a player to watch for Atlanta. The pitcher has allowed no earned runs in five of his past six appearances and struck out three in each of his past two. Dodd has allowed two hits and two earned runs over his past six appearances, striking out nine in 5 2/3 innings. In Atlanta’s most recent game, a 7-6 loss to Cincinnati, Dodd threw two hitless innings with three strikeouts. Austin Riley homered and drove in two runs, and Michael Harris II went 3 for 5 with an RBI.
Tyler Phillips is a player to watch for Miami. He allowed no earned runs in two of his past three outings, including four scoreless innings with two strikeouts in the Marlins’ most recent game, a 2-1 loss at Chicago. Phillips has worked at least 3 2/3 innings in each of his past four appearances. Josh Ekness and Victor Vodnik combined for 2 2/3 scoreless innings in relief. Phillips has allowed five earned runs over 16 1/3 innings in his past four appearances, striking out 11 and walking six, including four walks in his most recent outing.
The Braves had won three of four before their loss to the Reds. They also swept a three-game series at Houston, outscoring the Astros 16-7. The Marlins had won two straight before falling to the Cubs. Miami took two of three at Chicago, including an 8-2 victory, before the 2-1 defeat. Atlanta and Miami are scheduled to continue their series this weekend.
Interstat’s game simulator projects a final score of Atlanta 8, Miami 6. Interstat’s ELO system gives Atlanta a 52.6 percent probability to win. Atlanta is a pregame favorite with a spread of -1.5, and the over/under is 8.