CHINGOLA, Zambia (Interstat) — A clash of contrasting form and a statistical paradox headlines Week 28 of Zambia’s Super League as Nchanga Rangers host Lumwana Radiants at Nchanga Stadium on Sunday.

The visiting Lumwana Radiants (W-L-D record unavailable) arrive riding a wave of explosive offense, fresh from a 7-0 demolition of Chambishi on March 29. Their recent results, however, reveal stark volatility: a 2-1 win at Green Buffaloes preceded a 5-1 home thrashing by Kabwe Warriors. Their season includes both a 7-3 victory and a 4-0 win over traditional power ZESCO United, but also heavy defeats.

Nchanga Rangers (W-L-D record unavailable) seek stability after a punishing 4-1 loss at Nkwazi on March 29, part of a difficult stretch that also saw a 4-0 home loss to Red Arrows. Their campaign has been similarly inconsistent, featuring a 9-0 rout of Chambishi but also several multi-goal defeats.

The statistical projections for the match offer a direct contradiction. Interstat’s game simulator predicts a narrow 1-0 victory for Lumwana Radiants. Yet, the same outlet’s ELO rating system gives Nchanga Rangers a 56.40% probability of winning, underscoring the unpredictable nature of this fixture.

History at the venue adds another layer. In their last meeting in Chingola, Nchanga Rangers delivered a decisive 4-0 victory over Forest Rangers in November 2025, suggesting a potential home-pitch advantage.

The matchup pits Lumwana’s high-risk, high-reward approach against a Rangers side desperate to leverage home support and rectify recent defensive lapses. A win for Radiants would solidify their momentum ahead of their next fixture against Maestro United Zambia on April 26. For Rangers, it’s a critical opportunity to climb the table and prove their resilience.

Kickoff is set for Sunday at Nchanga Stadium in Chingola.