SHYMKENT, Kazakhstan (Interstat) — A spot in the next round of Kazakhstan’s Cup of Cup is on the line Saturday when Ordabasy hosts Maqtaaral in a domestic clash at Stadion Qajimuqan Muñaytpasov.

The home side enters as a heavy favorite. According to Interstat’s ELO system, Ordabasy holds an 85.50 percent probability to win. The firm’s game simulator projects a narrow 1-0 victory for the hosts.

Ordabasy looks to rebound from a 2-1 away defeat to Kyzyl-Zhar in domestic play last Sunday. Their recent form has been inconsistent, including a 1-1 draw and a 4-3 loss in friendlies against Georgian side Torpedo Kutaisi last July.

Maqtaaral, meanwhile, seeks its first goal of the young season. The visitors are coming off a scoreless draw at Kaisar on Tuesday, which followed a 1-0 loss at Aktobe. Their attack has yet to find the net in competitive matches this January.

The matchup pits a favored Ordabasy side against a Maqtaaral team struggling for offensive traction. The venue, Stadion Qajimuqan Muñaytpasov in Shymkent, is familiar territory for Ordabasy as the home club.

A win would provide Ordabasy with positive momentum ahead of a quick turnaround. Their schedule continues with a home match against Aksu on Monday.

For Maqtaaral, the cup tie represents an opportunity to defy projections and ignite their campaign with a statement result against a top-tier opponent.

Kickoff is set for Saturday, Jan. 24, 2026.