HULL, England (Interstat) — Hull welcomes Everton on Saturday for a Premier League matchup featuring two clubs with identical win totals but different recent paths. Everton arrives unbeaten across all competitions at 2-0-3, while Hull sits at 2-1-2. Everton has shown defensive resilience and an ability to grind out results, with three draws in five matches. Hull has mixed promising victories with a tighter margin for error.

Everton’s most recent outing produced a 1-0 home win over Ipswich. Jarrad Branthwaite and James Garner each played the full 90 minutes, and Ainsley Maitland-Niles logged 89 minutes. Before that, Everton drew 0-0 at Tottenham, drew 2-2 with Manchester United at home, drew 1-1 at Bournemouth and beat Crystal Palace 2-0 at home. The run has kept Everton without a loss and given the visiting side momentum ahead of the trip. Everton has been held to one goal or fewer in three of five matches but has conceded just three goals.

Hull enters after a 2-1 loss at Newcastle. Lucas Herrington and Lewie Coyle each played 90 minutes, while Bachir Belloumi played 83 minutes, provided an assist and received a yellow card. Earlier this season, Hull drew 2-2 at Chelsea U18, drew 0-0 with Aston Villa at home, won 1-0 at Coventry and beat Manchester United 2-0 at home. That form has Hull positioned as a competitive home side, though the loss at Newcastle was a reminder of the league’s demands. Hull has scored two goals in two of its five matches and has been shut out once.

The matchup will test Everton’s unbeaten start against a Hull team that has produced goals in bursts and defended well in stretches. Everton’s recent results suggest patience and control, while Hull’s victories over Manchester United at home and Coventry on the road show it can punish opponents. Both sides also have busy schedules ahead. Everton’s upcoming slate includes matches against Chelsea U18, Arsenal and Newcastle, among others. Later, Everton is set to host Liverpool and travel to Aston Villa. Hull is set to face Fulham, Brentford U18, Ipswich and Arsenal in its next several league fixtures. Hull’s later schedule includes Brighton, Crystal Palace, Nottingham, Bournemouth, Tottenham and Manchester City.

With Everton seeking to preserve its unbeaten record and Hull looking to rebound from its most recent defeat, the contest could hinge on midfield control and finishing chances. Everton has leaned on steady defensive performances, while Hull will look to use home advantage to disrupt the visitor’s rhythm.

Interstat’s game simulator projects a final score of Hull 1, Everton 1. Interstat’s ELO system gives Everton a 91.3 percent probability to win.